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The United States’ new blockade of Iranian oil exports, aimed at escalating pressure on Iran, carries significant risks for both countries and the global economy. While Trump hopes Iran will yield, Iran has a history of resisting economic pressure and possesses resources to continue exporting oil despite the blockade. The blockade threatens to disrupt global oil markets, potentially driving up gas prices and increasing the risk of casualties for US troops involved in intercepting vessels. Iran’s retaliation could broaden the conflict regionally, and the situation is escalating with threats of military action, including the potential sinking of Iranian ships. Both sides appear unwilling to back down, creating a dangerous “game of chicken” with potentially severe consequences.